Friday, June 26, 2015

The Return of the What If Game



There are two things I don’t trust in this world: People that don’t eat bacon, and the idea that everything in history is set in stone. The first one is obvious. If you know someone that doesn’t like bacon, chances are they are really a terminator sent from the future to murder the fuck out of you. And yes, this is the only logical explanation.
 
By nothing historically is set in stone, I’m more referring to my obnoxious tendency to never be satisfied with the facts. Instead, I enjoy changing seemingly miniscule details that ultimately re-writes everything we thought we knew about an event. You may know this simply as the What If game.

Now, the history of basketball is rife with potential What If scenarios to the point where Bill Simmons made it a full chapter in his book and I shamelessly ripped off his idea a year ago. Or as we call it in the hip-hop community, I “sampled” it. Anyways, the Golden State Warriors recently won the NBA title thanks to some pretty remarkable luck and circumstance. This doesn’t take away the fact they were one of the greatest single season teams in history—after all, every championship team in any sport needs luck in order to win—however, it reflects on the fact that the Warriors narrowly missed out on a dream season had certain things in the league played out differently. It’s time to take a stroll down memory lane and take a look at the NBA season we almost had.

What If Tanking Worked?

The 2013-2014 season was a magical year filled with What Ifs. But instead of asking what if things were different, we were asking what if the 2014 draft class is the greatest class of all time? What if Andrew Wiggins is the second coming of LeBron? What if Jabari Parker is really the best player in the draft? What if the Knicks actually drafted a player that wasn’t terrible? These questions led to an utterly blatant display of teams tanking, most notably the Philadelphia 76ers, whom approached historical dysfunction with a grace that would make Donald Sterling blush.
 

"Aww, shucks you guys"

If you remember correctly, the basketball Gods did not reward the Sixers for their despicable effort in losing games, resulting in them receiving the number 3 overall pick and Joel Embiid. The Cavaliers would earn the number 1 overall pick and the pieces necessary to execute the trade that brought them Kevin Love, and ultimately, LeBron James. So what if tanking had worked and the Sixers had gotten the number 1 pick? While there is always a chance that Sam Hinkie would still give his fan base the middle finger and drafted Embiid anyways, it doesn’t seem plausible that he would pass up Wiggins and Parker for an injured player that missed all of this season and possibly all of next year. Instead, there is a chance that Parker would be drafted first overall and potentially does not suffer a torn ACL that ended his season. While I would’ve been down for a year of Parker and Wiggins battling for a true Rookie of the Year race, this is not important at all to the scenario.

The big thing here is that the Cavs would not have had the assets to lure LeBron back to Cleveland nor make the trade with Minnesota that landed them Kevin Love. Which means JR Smith and Iman Shumpert would likely have remained in New York to rot and the world would have never gotten the amazing redemption story of Timofey Mozgov. In other words, the Cavs would not look anything remotely close to the team that just went to the Finals. It would have been another year of Kyrie hero ball and the emergence of full blown Dion Waiters, which is tantalizing and terrifying at the same time. I think the basketball Gods did us a solid on this one by not rewarding tanking.  

What If the Warriors Pulled The Trigger on Kevin Love?

Before this season, Kevin Love was considered one of the best players in the league and pretty much every team did whatever they could to get him. This included the current champions, the Golden State Warriors. And for a while, it appeared that Love was for sure heading to the Bay Area. The deal was constructed to send Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, David Lee, and a first round draft pick for Love and possibly Kevin Martin. If you recall, the Warriors wouldn’t budge on breaking up the Splash Brothers and refused to make any trade that included Thompson. This led to most of America believing that the Warriors GM must be smoking some serious shit if he isn’t willing to trade Thompson for Love. Of course, the decision to keep Klay, whom bloomed into an All-Star, ended up being one of the most beneficial gambles in NBA history.

But what if Flip Saunders had somehow managed to pull off the trade and sent Love to the Warriors for Thompson? Here’s some things to consider:

1)      Golden State succeeded this season because they were the best defensive team. No matter how good the offense was, they wouldn’t have succeeded without the army of 6’7” players that made scoring a nightmare for their opponents. Klay Thompson and Harrison Barnes are not the best defenders on the team, but they are still better than 75% of the league when it comes to defending multiple positions. Barnes would usually start on the other team’s best player, unless that player happened to be a point guard, in which case Thompson would guard them. While Stephen Curry has improved drastically on the defensive end, not having Thompson would put more pressure on Curry to defend some of the most terrifying players in the league, which may have affected his offense and his MVP candidacy.

2)      Speaking of offense and defense, the Warriors thrived thanks to the emergence of Draymond Green. Draymond’s versatility on both sides of the ball was perfect for the Warriors system, and he may have changed everything we thought we knew about basketball and positions. And really, the Warriors stumbled ass backwards into giving him an increased role after David Lee was injured to start the year. So even without the Love trade, we almost missed out entirely on Draymond Green, which is just a disservice to humanity. Had the Love trade gone through, there is absolutely no chance Green would have succeeded. Love and Green play the same position, and while Green might be more valuable in the Dubs current system, Love is undoubtedly the better player.
 
Draymond strongly disagrees with my statement

3)      David Lee would have been a great replacement for Love in Minnesota. They rebound similarly, they share an alarming disregard for defense, and they are both capable of slapping up 20 points for your squad.

4)      Does Klay Thompson get better or worse in Minnesota? I seriously can’t decide. On one hand, he would be playing with Ricky Rubio, who is a pass first point guard that would feed Klay three pointers for days. On the other hand, Klay benefits from all the attention Steph draws every time he crosses half court. Also, what the hell happens to Andrew Wiggins? This what if is starting to hurt my head.

5)      Cavs don’t get Love, obviously. Does Cleveland still manage to make it to the Finals without Love? I’m leaning towards yes because the East is awful and LeBron is a Marvel movie hero. But also it means they keep Andrew Wiggins (along with Anthony Bennett), another incredible what if scenario that needs to written by a true professional, presumably one that is sober.
 
"Nahhh"

6)      This would kill the Splash Bros, the NBA’s most entertaining tandem. An NBA without the Splash Bros is a dark and scary place.

7)      No way in hell the Warriors become champions.

What If the Warriors Got Dwight Howard?

Of course that entire paragraph could have been for nothing considering that the Warriors almost torpedoed their championship two summers ago when they heavily pursued Dwight Howard.

Look, this isn’t an opportunity to bash Dwight and blame him for everything wrong with basketball. The fact remains, however, that the Warriors would not be champions right now had they signed Howard. And that has nothing to do with Dwight’s presence. By adding Dwight though, the Warriors would be subtracting a key component to their championship run, and that person is the fucking Finals MVP.

If you remember correctly, the Warriors signed Andre Iguodala after Dwight went to the Rockets. In a sense, Iggy was a consolation prize. But not landing Dwight became a blessing in disguise, even if it didn’t look that way at first. After a season where neither Iggy nor Harrison Barnes (the player Andre replaced in the starting lineup) played particularly well, new coach Steve Kerr decided to bench the former All-Star and start Barnes. From the start of the season, Iguodala’s acceptance of his new role set the tone of sacrifice, teamwork, and being in love with the CoCo.
 

"This is how you get it for the low low, Bron!"


We don’t need to pile on the praise of Iggy stepping up in the big moment since we all know what happened. The point that does need to be made, however, is that anytime you’re playing against LeBron James in the Finals, the most valuable player on that team immediately becomes the person that has to slow him down. I talked about how great Draymond Green, Harrison Barnes, and Klay Thompson are defensively, but they got torched pretty much anytime they got stuck guarding James. Without Iguodala, LeBron would have averaged 50 points a game in that series and would have probably beaten the Warriors by himself. Iggy’s defense, as well as capitalizing on most of his open shots, was arguably the most important reason the Dubs are champions. What actually is the most important reason, though, is Dwight choosing Houston over Golden State.

What If David Blatt Had Gotten His Timeout?

The Cavs managed to make it to the NBA Finals despite losing Kevin Love in the first round and having a hobbled Kyrie in the semifinals and conference finals before ultimately going down in game one of the Finals. With that said, the Cavs likely wouldn’t have made it to the Finals had it not been for Tyronne Lue slow motion diving in front of the speeding bullet that was David Blatt getting lost in the moment.

It was game 4 of the semifinals against the Chicago Bulls in a series that had the Bulls up 2-1. It was an epic back and forth game that saw the Bulls tie the game with about eight seconds left. No big deal right? You have eight seconds to get the ball to the best player in the world and let him make a play, there should be no reason to panic. Well, first year head coach David Blatt did, because he tried to call a timeout. The problem? The Cavs didn’t have any timeouts left.


As beautifully illustrated here

If you are a fan of college basketball or the Fab Five, you realize why this would have been an absolute death blow to the Cavs. For those that don’t know, calling a timeout when you do not have a timeout automatically results in a technical foul, which means the Bulls would have gotten a free throw and possession of the ball. Remember, the game was tied with eight seconds left. Had a referee noticed Blatt calling timeout, the Bulls would have likely made the free throw, putting them up by one. They would have then been rewarded possession of the ball, which means the Cavs would have had to foul in order to send the Bulls to the line and extend the game. In most situations, the Bulls make all three free throws and would be up by three. Even on the off chance that they miss the technical free throw, leaving the game tied, the Bulls would still have the last shot of regulation and a great chance to win the game, putting them up 3-1 in the series. No matter how great LeBron is, winning three games in a row against an elite defensive team is borderline impossible and the Bulls would have went on to the Eastern Conference Finals.


Instead, LeBron James hit that memorable shot from the corner to win the game, tie the series, and give Cleveland the momentum it needed to get to the Finals.

What If Lil B Never Got Involved?

People want to put an asterisks next to the Warriors’ championship because they didn’t have to play the Spurs or Clippers in the playoffs, and they beat an injury plagued Cavaliers in the Finals. I personally think this is ludicrous because, as mentioned before, no championship team in history has ever won without some other team catching an unlucky break. BUT if we were to acknowledge an injury that changed everything about this season, we have to talk about Kevin Durant.
 

The second best player in the world missed most of the season after a series of setbacks regarding an injured foot. While the world was treated to Russell Westbrook going Super Saiyan Goku on the league, Durant’s injury caused the Thunder to barely miss the playoffs. This wasn’t just a lucky break for the Warriors, it was a lucky break for the entire league. When Durant and Westbrook are healthy, the Thunder are one of the toughest teams to beat. Had Durant been healthy for even the last few weeks of the season, the Thunder would have crashed the playoffs and made life a nightmare for the entire Western Conference. So how did the Thunder become the most unlucky team in the NBA? Well it all starts with this man:
 


Lil. Fucking. B. Aka the Based God. I don’t want to dive too much into it because he’s gotten a lot of press about this but long story short, there is a thing called the Based God's Curse and he’s fucked a lot of shit up with it. During the playoffs, he famously cursed James Harden which, hopefully by pure coincidence, resulted in Harden struggling mightily against the Warriors. Lil B even threatened to curse the Cavs after witnessing their celebration following the Eastern Conference Finals. Iman Shumpert had to tweet at the Based God and more or less asked for forgiveness, to which Lil B called off the curse. Of course, he totally could have been lying because Shumpert and JR Smith couldn’t hit a shot to save their lives in the Finals. And of course, there’s Kevin Durant, whom was the first person of note to rub the Based God the wrong way.

While robbing us of a season of Kevin Durant doing Kevin Durant stuff was a dick move on Lil B’s part, he’s contributions to the Warriors title run cannot be ignored. Lil B, you the real MVP.
Photos, sources, and other shit courtesy of: